The Maths: 25% Instant Return vs Market Uncertainty
Put £4,000 into a LISA and the government adds £1,000. That's a 25% return on day one, before your money earns a penny of interest or investment growth.
A stocks & shares ISA offers no guaranteed return. The FTSE All-Share has delivered roughly 7-8% annualised over the past 30 years including dividends, according to Barclays Equity Gilt Study data — but that average hides years like 2022 where UK equities fell 4%, or 2020's 12% crash. Over a 5-year savings window for a first home deposit, you could easily end up with less than you started.
The LISA bonus, by contrast, arrives within 4-8 weeks of each deposit. It compounds. If you invest your LISA in stocks and shares (yes, you can do both — it's not cash-only), you get the 25% bonus plus market returns.
Over five years at 5% annual growth, the LISA saver ends up with roughly £29,000 versus £23,200 in a standard stocks & shares ISA. That's nearly £6,000 more — entirely from the government bonus compounding alongside your investments.
For savers comparing easy access vs fixed rate ISAs, the LISA adds a third dimension: the government bonus makes even a modest cash LISA competitive with the best fixed-rate deals.