What's on offer right now
Let's start with the numbers. The Bank of England base rate sits at 3.75% after the December 2025 cut — its lowest since September 2023. Easy-access savings rates have followed it down, with most high street accounts paying between 2.5% and 3.5%.
Fixed-rate bonds tell a different story. NS&I's Guaranteed Growth Bonds (now branded "British Savings Bonds") currently pay:
- 1-year fixed: 4.07% AER
- 2-year fixed: 3.98% AER
- 3-year fixed: 4.02% AER
- 5-year fixed: 4.05% AER
Compare that to NS&I's own easy-access Direct Saver at just 3.05%. That's a full percentage point less than the one-year fixed bond from the same provider — and NS&I isn't exactly known for market-leading rates. The best buys from challenger banks push even further ahead.
One thing stands out: the yield curve is essentially flat. There's almost no reward for locking your money away for five years instead of one. The 5-year bond pays just 4.05% versus 4.07% for one year. That's a strong signal from the market that rates are expected to fall — and fall quite a lot.