What Greensill Actually Did
Greensill Capital started as a supply chain finance firm — a legitimate business where companies get paid early for their invoices at a discount. Under Lex Greensill, the model became something far more dangerous.
The firm began lending against "prospective receivables" — invoices for transactions that hadn't happened yet and might never happen. It then packaged these loans into bonds sold to Credit Suisse investment funds, which marketed them to investors as low-risk, short-term instruments. At its peak, Greensill had $143 billion in supply chain financing.
The house of cards depended on two things: insurance from Tokio Marine covering $4.6 billion of working capital, and continued faith from Credit Suisse. In July 2020, Tokio Marine discovered an employee had authorised coverage far exceeding risk limits and pulled the plug. Without insurance, the bonds were effectively unsellable.
By March 2021, Greensill couldn't repay a $140 million loan to Credit Suisse. The bank froze $10 billion in funds. Greensill Capital (UK) Limited and Greensill Capital Management Company (UK) Limited entered administration on 8 March 2021, according to the Insolvency Service. Investors in Credit Suisse's supply-chain funds faced losses estimated at up to $3 billion.